Do tariffs on steel made the U.S. steel industry totally revived ?

Recently President Trump tweeted that tariffs on steel made U.S. steel industry totally revived. In March 2018, Trump signed executive orders imposing a 25% tariff on imported steel and a 10% tariff on imported aluminum products under section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962. Let’s take a look on numbers how the U.S. industry actually revived or not.

Tariffs on the “dumping” of Steel in the United States have totally revived our Steel Industry. New and expanded plants are happening all over the U.S. We have not only saved this important industry, but created many jobs. Also, billions paid to our treasury. A BIG WIN FOR U.S.— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) 2019年1月28日

Here is employment on the steel industry. As you can see, since last year October, employment has been drastically increasing.

Steel, Iron, Ferroalloy Industry Employment 2018

Steel, Iron, Ferroalloy Industry Employment 2018

Line chart. Data table with 11 rows and 2 columns follows.

Steel, Iron, Ferroalloy Industry Employment 2018
Jan 86.5
Feb 86.9
Mar 86.2
Apr 86.8
May 86.4
Jun 87.1
Jul 86.1
Aug 86.1
Sep 86.6
Oct 86.2
Nov 87.7

Below shows the steel production index. Index number in November and December surpassed “100” which indicates the U.S. steel industry is back to the year of 2012 level.

Steel Production Index 2018

Steel Production Index 2018

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Steel Production Index 2018
Jan 92.229
Feb 95.341
Mar 97.727
Apr 95.456
Jun 95.212
Jul 93.511
Aug 94.025
Sep 97.168
Oct 99.207
Nov 102.93
Dec 103.284

Now let’s look at the U.S. steel imports statistics. Steel imports have been declining after the tariffs and December’s imports have become the lowest level in the year.

U.S. Steel Imports 2018

U.S. Steel Imports 2018

Line chart. Data table with 12 rows and 2 columns follows.

U.S. Steel Imports 2018
Jan 2.6
Feb 2.2
Mar 3
Apr 3.4
May 2.8
Jun 2.3
Jul 2.7
Aug 2.8
Sep 2
Oct 3
Nov 2.4
Dec 1.9

Here is the share of steel production in the world now. While China is dominating the world production share, the U.S. is the 5th largest steel production country.

Shares of World Crude Steel Production Sep 2018

Shares of World Crude Steel Production Sep 2018

Department of Commerce

Shares of World Crude Steel Production Sep 2018
Chia 53.4
EU 9
Japan 5.6
India 5.6
U.S. 4.8
Russia 3.8
S. Korea 3.9
Other 13.9

source: U.S. Department of Commerce

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