Historical Record of Midterms

President Trump said “There’s only been 5 times in the last 105 years that an incumbent President has won seats in the Senate in the off year election.” Let ‘s check on the historical record of midterms.

Here we go.

2nd Year in Office House Senate
2018 Trump -30 +3
2010 Obama -63 -6
2002 Bush +8 +2
1994 Clinton -54 -10
1990 H.W. Bush -8 -1
1982 Regan -26 +0
1978 Carter -15 -2
1974 Ford -48 -4
1970 Nixon  -12 +2
1966 Johnson -47 -3
1962 Kennedy  -4 +4
1954 Eisenhower -18 -2
1946 Truman -54 -10
(1938 Roosevelt ) (-72) (-7)
1934 Roosevelt  +9 +9
1930 Hoover -52 -6
1926 Coolidge -9 -6
1922 Harding -77 -7
1914 Wilson  -61 +3
1910 William -56 -9
Total -689 -50
Avg -34.5 -2.5
Avg (without 1938) -32.5 -2.3

source: wikipedia U.S. midterm election

Indeed there are 5 presidents who gained Senate seats during their 2nd year in office. Average loss of House seats per president are 32.5 and Senate seats are 2.3. Since President Roosevelt had 3 midterms, if we include his 6th year in office, loss of House seats per president becomes 34.5  seats and Senate seats are 2.5.

Trump Tracker: https://hcw68.app.goo.gl/p6u5

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *